SoftestPawn’s Weblog

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Climate Change References

A page of references to various data sources, popular analysis and websites.

Background & Introduction

Excellent summary of the general history by the American Institute of Physics.

The Man-Made Global Warming Assertion

“We release CO2 by burning fossil fuels”

“Atmospheric CO2 levels have increased”

–> “Therefore increased atmospheric CO2 is due to us”

“CO2 is a ‘greenhouse gas'”

“Global temperatures are increasing”

–> Increasing CO2 is driving increasing global temperatures

“Increasing global temperatures will cause widespread harm and possibly catastrophic changes to the planets environment”.

–> We must not allow global temperatures to increase

–> The only possible action is to reduce CO2 emissions

(Each of these assertions and conclusions needs to be true, in series, for the last statement to be true. ie, if any one of them fails, there is no requirement to reduce CO2 emissions)

Live Data Sets

Temperature

HadCRUT3 – Surface temperature measurements (Climate Research Unit, Hadley center, UK met office)

GISS Surface Temperature Analysis – NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (Appears to be a lone-man project)

Global Historical Climatology Network – National Climate Centre: (FTP here, )

Cyrosphere Today excellent eye candy graphs of ice coverage & temperatures at the poles (Walsh & Chapman at Illinois Uni)

RSS Atmosphere Temperatures Remote Sensing Satellite, less prone to groundstation errors compared to Hadley’s CRUT and GISS.

CO2 Levels

Mauna Loa record – 1958-now Mauna Loa Observatory at Hawaii

Law Dome Ice core (incl methane) – last few hundred years

Data Sets

Carbon cycle quantities (20002ish?) – NASA’s Earth Observatory.

Various CO2/Temperature datasets analysed & graphed – “Process Trends“,

Temperature

From ice cores, 160,000-now, NASA’s Earth observatory (Comment on ice core proxy systematic errors) and more comments on requirement for care

Lots of graphs from Global Warming Art, with links to sources etc.

CO2 Levels

Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions 2007; graphs and data

Scientific Skeptics

These are people who claim to demonstrate using maths and physics and everything various problems with some of the datasets:

Specific articles:

Testing Hansen’s predictions,  Fire & Ice scaremongering, IPCC expert reviewer Vincent Gray on IPCC Spin, A software engineers take, ethos review, Leonard Weinstein “Disproving the AGW” , John Theon regrets , The Green World Trust

David Rutledge Caltech – predicting

Insufficient Forcing Uncertainty Underestimates the Risk of High Climate
Sensitivity
– uncertainty only goes one way

Climatologist Sites

These are people who claim to be climatologists and so know what they’re saying:

Reports

IPCC

criticism of IPCC

Hard Truths (National Petroleum Council)

Stern Report (UK government, on comparing adaption to mitigation costs)

The Petition Project (IPCC-like review with opposite conclusion)

A few hundred skeptical peer-reviewed papers

Scientific Process (or lack)

McIntyre on due diligence

A chemist’s take on openness

John Costella’s Summary of the ‘ClimateGate’ emails [PDF] – the selection of CRU emails published in Nov 2009.

Climate projections: Past performance no guarantee of future skill? (PDF here)

Half-finished bits of work

The Old Web page

Solar Power – is it enough?

Carbon Isotopes

Correlations (or not)

CO2 emission vs level vs temperature

That Global Cooling Thing: Not really relevent, but the shift from ‘it never happened’ to ‘well no serious scientists said so’ to ‘there wasn’t an established consensus’.  Mann’s Real Climate, American Institute of Physics, NY Times reporting on a convention, American Institute Physics awards Tom Alexander Fortune Magazine “Ominous Changes in the World’s Weather”, Fire & Ice includes summary references, Similar New American article

Political Pressures on scientists

Eisenhower: “Partly because of the huge costs involved, a government contract becomes virtually a substitute for intellectual curiosity….The prospect of domination of the nation’s scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present – and is gravely to be regarded. Yet, in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite.”

Management calls to strip meteorologists of qualifications if they don’t conclude what others have concluded.

Elections at the IPCC

Rather “light” review by house of commons of Phil Jones et al

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